Valentin Akayezu
Impamvu turi kubona abantu basympanthising with(bari ku ruhande rwa) Putin ku byo arimo gukora yinjira muri Ukraine, bifite igisobanuro gifatika.
Guhera mu 1989 urukuta rwa Berlin rumaze guhirima, icyo twita the “West” cyangwa ‘Occident'(ni ukuvuga ibihugu by’iburengerazuba bw’isi) cyahise kibona ubwinyagamburiro mu gushyiraho icyo nakwita injyana imwe mu gufata ibyemezo bireba isi yose (Unilateralism in global decision-making) ibyo bikaba byaratumye amahoro kw’isi yangirika haba ibyago bikomeye.
Aho Leta zunze ubumwe z’abasoviyeti (URSS) ihirimiye, Slobodan Milosevic wari perezida wa Yoguslavia yari asigaye ariwe kibazo gikomeye Occident ifite. Nibwo binyuze muri scenario (inkinamico) za OTAN(umuryango wo gutabarana w’abazungu b’i Burayi,Ubwongereza na Leta zunze ubumwe za Amerika) hateguwe isubiranamo ry’abaturage maze Occident/OTAN yinjira mu ntambara igiye guhagarika genocide muri Kosovo. Yogulsavia barayishwanyaguza ivamo ibihugu bitandukanye: Bosnia-Herzegovina, Croatia, Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia na Slovenia.
Ntibyarangiriye aho, prochaine étape(intambwe yaje gukurikiraho) yari ugushwanyaguza Africa y’ibiyaga bigari. Iyo Russia itahaba ubu na Tanzania iba imaze guhinduka umuyonga.
Ibyakurikiye ni Libya yari iteje ibibazo uko OTAN yayigize ntawutarabibonye, ariko mbere yaho muri September(ukwezi kwa 9) 2001 ikinyoma kabutindi cyo gushwanyaguza Iraq ntawutarakibonye. Ninde utabona uko Syria bayigize iyo Assad atagira aba Russia, ubu aba ari ubushwangi bw’uduhugu dutandukanye!!
Aho Russia yongeye guhagurakana imbaraga, isi yavuye muri unipolar controle(ubutegetsi bw’injyana imwe) hongera kugaruka bipolar system(ubutegetsi bw’ibihugu by’ibihangange bicungana). Za Ntambara OTAN na Occident bajyagamo uko bishakiye bongera gucisha make kuko Russia yaje nka garde fou(nk’umurinzi)!
Kuba rero Uburusiya bubangamiye politiki mpuzamahanga y’Ibihugu byo mu Burengerazuba cyane cyane kubirebana no gukoresha ingufu mu kuyobora isi, hagomba kuboneka uburyo bwose bushoboka bwo gushegesha Uburusiya,kandi Ku birebana no gusenya influence(imbaraga) ya Russia, OTAN yateguye plan (umugambi) yo kuyegera.
Itangira gucengera muri sosiyete civile(abikorera) y’imbere mu Burusiya, binjira mu ba Universitaire(intiti za Kaminuza), Occident ishora amafaranga mu kugumura abaturage ba Abarusiya.
Putin yagiye asobanura uburyo Amerika yatoye itegeko rivuga ko Russia ari umwanzi wayo, bityo guha amafaranga sosiyete civile y’Uburusiya bikaba biri mu mugambi wo gushegesha Leta ye, bakaba batakwihanganira ko umwanzi wabo abakoreramo imbere.
Tukiri aha, ni ngombwa kwibutsa ko intambara zose OTAN na Occident bashoje hirya no hino zabaga zitwikiriye couverture(agakingirizo)yo gushyigikira “demukarasi”.
Ariko se “democratie du chaos”/demukarasi y’akavuyo niyo isi ikeneye? Twongere twibuke ko Leta zunze ubumwe za Amerika(US)yatoye itegeko rivuga ko umwanzi wa mbere wayo ari Russia, OTAN nayo policy (politike) yayo ivuga ko umwanzi wayo wa mbere ari Russia.
Iyo urebye uko Occident yinjiriye Ukraine, ukareba ijambo ejo bundi Volodymyr Zelensky yavugiye mu nama y’Umutekano I Munish mu Budage ko Ukraine igiye nayo kubyutsa umushinga wo gukora intwaro za kirimbuzi, ari nayo mpamvu mu byo Uburusiya bwihutiye gusenya ari ibisigazwa bya Centrale nucleaire de Tchernobyr, ukareba uko abategetsi ba Ukraine, uretse kudahishira kuzana OTAN mu marembo y’Uburusiya (twibutse ko Ukraine n’uburusiya bisangiye umupaka wa 2000 km2), banakomeje gushaka kurimbura ibirebana n’umuco w’Uburusiya byose.
Muri Ukraine bavuga ikinyaUkraine n’ikirusiya ariko barimo bagihagarika batitaye ku banyaUkraine bafite inkomoko mu Burusiya baba muri icyo gihugu.
Muri make President wa Ukraine yeruriye Uburusiya ko ari umwanzi wabwo utihishiriye kandi witeguye gucumbikira abanzi b’uburusiya ba karundura.
Umuhanga akaba n’umustrategiste wa white house, Zbigniew Kazimierz Brzeziński niwe wandikiye Abanyamerika ko Ukraine igomba kuba zone d’influence(ikibuga cy’imbaraga) yo kuzasenya Uburusiya.
Ese gusabota Russia bivuze iki?
-Kugarurabwa buhangage bwa Occident bwo kutavugirwamo maze bagakora ibyo bishakiye kw’isi hose ntawubatangira;
-Gushwanyaguza Uburusiya bagasigara ntacyo buvuze.
Ni ukuvuga kuri Putin, nta yandi mahitamo, kuko Ukraine atayiteye, n’ukurangira kw’igihugu cye.
Kimwe abantu batibuka, ni uko muri Ukraine huzuye imfungwa nyinshi zizira kutavuga rumwe na Volodymyr, ibinyamakuru bitari mu murongo we byagiye bifungwa umusubizo, yewe na Al Jazeera ejo yagaragaje uko abanyamakuru bayo bari kubuzwa gutara amakuru muri icyo gihugu.
Nyamara ibi byose ntaho ushobora gusanga bivugwa mu binyamakuru byo mu burengerazuba.
Hakiriho intambara y’ubutita (cold war), nta ntambara zimena amaraso twigeze tubona nk’izo twabonye guhera aho urukuta rw’i Berilini rugwiriye.
Putin niba hari abamwumva, ni uko bamurebera mu ndorerwamo yo kuzana “balance” mu mikorere y’umuryango mpuzamahanga kuko kwiganza k’uruhande rumwe niyo mvano yo kumeneka kw’amaraso atagira ingano.
Putin=Power balance in international relations/ni imbaraga zicubya imbaraga zo ku rundi ruhande kwiganza mu bubanyi n’amahanga ku isi hose.
Naho ibibi bamutwerera, kuri jye ababimutwerera ntibamurusha kubikora ahubwo bamurengeje ububi!!
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